A new stock-price bubble with stochastically deflating trajectories

Rotermann Benedikt, Wilfling Bernd

Working paper | Peer reviewed

Abstract

We propose a new, rational stock-price bubble that is able to generate recurringly explosive and stochastically deflating trajectories. Our flexible bubble process entails stock-price volatility dynamics that are consistent with real-world data. To demonstrate this, we fit our bubble specification to NASDAQ data and analyze the volatility dynamics.

Details about the publication

Place of publicationUniversity of Muenster
Title of seriesCQE-Working-Papers
Volume of series58/2017
StatusPublished
Release year2017 (16/01/2017)
Language in which the publication is writtenEnglish
KeywordsPresent-value model; Evans bubble; incompletely bursting bubble; stock-price volatility; particle-filter estimation

Authors from the University of Münster

Rotermann, Benedikt
Professur für Volkswirtschaftslehre, empirische Wirtschaftsforschung (Prof. Wilfling)
Wilfling, Bernd
Professur für Volkswirtschaftslehre, empirische Wirtschaftsforschung (Prof. Wilfling)