Modeling and forecasting financial-market volatility

Basic data for this project

Type of projectOwn resources project
Duration at the University of Münstersince 01/01/2020

Description

In all types of financial markets (stocks, currencies, commodities, energy), volatility is a key variable (i) for the valuation of contingent claims, and (ii) for measuring the effectiveness and credibility of policy shifts anticipated by market participants (e.g. announced regulatory interventions). In this project, we (i) design new (probabilistic) volatility models for (univariate and high-dimensional) financial-market time series, (ii) establish the associated estimation frameworks and forecasting tools, and (iii) apply our procedures to real-world financial data.

KeywordsEconometrics; time series analysis; stochastic volatility; conditional heteroscedasticity

Project management at the University of Münster

Trede, Mark
Professur für VWL, Ökonometrie/Wirtschaftsstatistik (Prof. Trede)
Wilfling, Bernd
Professur für Volkswirtschaftslehre, empirische Wirtschaftsforschung (Prof. Wilfling)

Research associates from the University of Münster

Schulte genannt Tillmann, Björn
Chair of Empirical Economics
Segnon, Mawuli Kouami
Chair of Empirical Economics